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Advocates Philippines
SWS Confirms Latest Senatorial Survey Just 3 Days Before The 2025 Elections - Here's Who's Leading The Race
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With just three days to go before Filipinos cast their votes, Social Weather Stations (SWS) has released fresh senatorial survey results commissioned by Stratbase Consultancy—and it’s already stirring discussions about who might land a seat in the Magic 12 this 2025.
Conducted from May 2 to 6, the survey polled 1,800 registered voters nationwide using face-to-face interviews. SWS used the official list of 66 senatorial candidates based on the latest Commission on Elections (COMELEC) ballot template, and allowed voters to simulate their choices privately—just like on actual election day.
Leading the pack?
No surprise here: Erwin Tulfo (LAKAS) continues to top the senatorial race with 45% of respondents saying they’d vote for him. Not far behind is Bong Go (PDPLBN) with 43%, and veteran politician Tito Sotto (NPC) follows at 37%.
The next few spots are tightly contested—Lito Lapid (NPC) and Ben Tulfo (IND) are tied at 34%, with Ping Lacson (IND) close behind at 32%. Abby Binay (NPC) and Bato Dela Rosa (PDPLBN) share 31% each, while Camille Villar (NP) and Pia Cayetano (NP) both have 30%.
Rounding out the current “Magic 12” are Bong Revilla (LAKAS) and Imee Marcos (NP), each with 29%.
Crowded near the edge
Outside the top 12, names like Manny Pacquiao, Willie Revillame, and Benhur Abalos are hovering closely with 24%, potentially within striking distance if last-minute shifts happen.
Others still in the mix include Bam Aquino (23%), Kiko Pangilinan (21%), and Rodante Marcoleta (17%), followed by Phillip Salvador and Col. Bosita tied at 16%.
The long tail
The rest of the list includes a mix of independents, party members, and activists scoring in the single digits—many of whom are still fighting for name recognition or pushing niche advocacy platforms.
Interestingly, votes for Doc Willie Ong and Manoy Wilbert Lee were counted as stray votes since both have already withdrawn their candidacies.
A quick note on methodology
The nationwide survey has a margin of error of ±2.31%, and higher margins per region. Respondents filled out a simulated ballot in private to mimic actual voting conditions, using the same candidate order and nicknames as would appear on the real ballots.
With such a tight race and Election Day just around the corner, there’s no telling what surprises might still come. But for now, these numbers give us a good idea of who’s capturing voter attention heading into the homestretch.
Conducted from May 2 to 6, the survey polled 1,800 registered voters nationwide using face-to-face interviews. SWS used the official list of 66 senatorial candidates based on the latest Commission on Elections (COMELEC) ballot template, and allowed voters to simulate their choices privately—just like on actual election day.
Leading the pack?
No surprise here: Erwin Tulfo (LAKAS) continues to top the senatorial race with 45% of respondents saying they’d vote for him. Not far behind is Bong Go (PDPLBN) with 43%, and veteran politician Tito Sotto (NPC) follows at 37%.
The next few spots are tightly contested—Lito Lapid (NPC) and Ben Tulfo (IND) are tied at 34%, with Ping Lacson (IND) close behind at 32%. Abby Binay (NPC) and Bato Dela Rosa (PDPLBN) share 31% each, while Camille Villar (NP) and Pia Cayetano (NP) both have 30%.
Rounding out the current “Magic 12” are Bong Revilla (LAKAS) and Imee Marcos (NP), each with 29%.
Crowded near the edge
Outside the top 12, names like Manny Pacquiao, Willie Revillame, and Benhur Abalos are hovering closely with 24%, potentially within striking distance if last-minute shifts happen.
Others still in the mix include Bam Aquino (23%), Kiko Pangilinan (21%), and Rodante Marcoleta (17%), followed by Phillip Salvador and Col. Bosita tied at 16%.
The long tail
The rest of the list includes a mix of independents, party members, and activists scoring in the single digits—many of whom are still fighting for name recognition or pushing niche advocacy platforms.
Interestingly, votes for Doc Willie Ong and Manoy Wilbert Lee were counted as stray votes since both have already withdrawn their candidacies.
A quick note on methodology
The nationwide survey has a margin of error of ±2.31%, and higher margins per region. Respondents filled out a simulated ballot in private to mimic actual voting conditions, using the same candidate order and nicknames as would appear on the real ballots.
With such a tight race and Election Day just around the corner, there’s no telling what surprises might still come. But for now, these numbers give us a good idea of who’s capturing voter attention heading into the homestretch.
May 9, 2025
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